National Championship 2026 - Switzerland - Cindra, Dracai of Retribution (CC)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Oliver Gehrig

5th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

90:10

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Aaron Heimbeck (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christopher Clark (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Carballido (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Patrik Koller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Basile Massaly (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.03
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.33
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.59
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.55
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Frédérick Cognard

11th • 5-1-0

83%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Urs Riedweg (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kevin Steiger (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Zaffalon (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marc Invernizzi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Niels Rohrer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jason Morard (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.49
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.01
R9	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.25

André Kofmel

23rd • 4-1-1

33%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.7

Surp

3.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Mévillot (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Rotter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Kevin Steiger (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Emil Hofmann (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Xavier Mudry (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Danny Feliz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.19
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Draw	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.79
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.01
R9	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.19

Leonel Torrealba

dropped • 3-1-0

50%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Frochaux (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Igor Koutzevitch (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thierry Mévillot (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Xavier Mudry (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.11
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.62
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.76

Marc Invernizzi

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Patrik Koller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kevin Jenni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Frédérick Cognard (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.35
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.21
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Henri Laigo

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Patrick Jud (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Wachouschek (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lisa-Marie Schulte (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.40
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Julien Gremion

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rafael Boog (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dominik von Allmen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Wilhelm Baars (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.86
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.