Valda, Seismic Impact at National Championship 2026 - Switzerland
Valda, Seismic Impact
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Küenzi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Markus Heimbeck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Leonel Torrealba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fabio Flammer (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 8: Loss vs David Rotter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.