FaB-Results

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest at National Championship 2026 - Switzerland

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Fabio Flammer
3rd • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Célien Mévillot (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Dash I/O
!!
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Rotter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Valda, Seismic Impact
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thierry Mévillot (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Fang, Dracai of Blades
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nico Grieco (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Gut (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75
Gabriel Ankeshian
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xavier Mudry (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dallas Catillaz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, Huntsman
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Jud (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.