National Championship 2026 - Switzerland - Fang, Dracai of Blades (CC)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nico Grieco

3rd • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Thomas G Jud (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

85:15

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 86:14

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Basile Massaly (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David Rotter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Fabio Flammer (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Rafael Boog (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.06
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.33
R4	CC	Dash I/O	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R8	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.14
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Win	✗	0.76	2.63
R10	CC	Zyggy Starlight	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-

Danny Feliz

27th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Igor Koutzevitch (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Patrik Koller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Gut (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Steiger (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Benjamin Küenzi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs André Kofmel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.40
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.25
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.02
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Christopher Clark

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dallas Catillaz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Gut (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Oliver Gehrig (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.34
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.29
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.