Jarl Vetreiði at National Championship 2026 - Switzerland
Jarl Vetreiði
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
33rd • 2-3-1
83%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs Frédérick Cognard (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs André Kofmel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Danny Feliz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 23:77
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Xavier Mudry (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Draw |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.