National Championship 2026 - Switzerland - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lars Seebacher

1st • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Loïc Musy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marc Invernizzi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andrea Zaffalon (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37

20:80

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Samuel Mudry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

20:80

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.16
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.20
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.38
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

David Rotter

15th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs André Kofmel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Fabio Flammer (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nico Grieco (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Thierry Mévillot (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

20:80

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R3	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.24
R8	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	30%	Win	✗	0.69	2.27
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Igor Koutzevitch

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Danny Feliz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Leonel Torrealba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Urs Riedweg (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Jenni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.09
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.91

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.