National Championship 2026 - Finland - Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty (CC)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Linnea Söderlund

5th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Toni Savolainen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Miika Räisänen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Olli Saarinen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Captain (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Mikael Kullström (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ville Schalin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jirka Ilomäki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.13
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.37
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.81
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Antti Tikkakoski

27th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matti Salmi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Toni Seppälä (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mikael Teittinen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Juha-Antti Kurttila (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Valentin Soloviev (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.45
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.97

Juha-Antti Kurttila

37th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Laura Väisälä (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Valtteri Kurhela (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Eero Aho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Antti Tikkakoski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Valtteri Laine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.45
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.37
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.30

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.