Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-2-0
29%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dmitry Petrov (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mikko Salmi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aino-Mari Uisma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Win vs Kalle Kivilahti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ilmari Lahtinen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Rene Aho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Miro Nurmela (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
20th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aleksi Korkalainen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Linnea Söderlund (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jan Hell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Riku Majamaa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Valentin Soloviev (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Henry Leskinen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
25th • 3-2-1
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luna Zitting (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ville Schalin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Antti Tikkakoski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lauri Koivisto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Aarni Rantamäki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Antti Humalamäki (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R9 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
10th • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jarko Räisänen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Riku Majamaa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
Round 8: Win vs Lauri Koivisto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Miro Nurmela (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
30th • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lari Lampainen (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Miro Nurmela (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sami Koivisto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Henry Leskinen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Miika Räisänen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Antti Tikkakoski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
32nd • 2-3-1
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tero Sainomaa (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dmitry Petrov (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jiahao Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luna Zitting (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Mikael Teittinen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Loss vs Valtteri Kurhela (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.