Dash I/O at National Championship 2026 - Finland
Dash I/O
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.7
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matias Viitasalo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22
Round 2: Win vs Jirka Ilomäki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Miro Nurmela (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs August Rokkanen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Olli Saarinen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jesse Härmälä (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ville Schalin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Round 11: Win vs Miro Nurmela (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jirka Ilomäki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
49th • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tommi Vornanen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Laura Väisälä (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Härmälä (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Toni Savolainen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dmitry Petrov (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Emmi Pelkonen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
50th • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jani Laatunen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Loss vs Matias Viitasalo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Antti Humalamäki (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Marko Syrjälä (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Aino-Mari Uisma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Miro Nurmela (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Toni Savolainen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Linnea Söderlund (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marko Syrjälä (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Rene Aho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Toni Seppälä (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lauri Koivisto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ville Schalin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Win vs Miro Nurmela (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vilma Varismaa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Valtteri Laine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Antti Knuuttila (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Roope Metsä (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.