Jarl Vetreiði
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 8-1-0
56%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
4.7
Surp
6.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Loss vs Rene Aho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aleksi Mäkinen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Win vs Otso Somerla (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ville Schalin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Roope Metsä (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 10: Win vs Linnea Söderlund (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Roope Metsä (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Rene Aho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
6.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
46th • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesse Härmälä (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aarni Rantamäki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs August Rokkanen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
Round 4: Loss vs Laura Väisälä (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Aino-Mari Uisma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jani Leinonen (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 55% | Loss |
34th • 2-3-1
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs Tommi Vornanen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Otso Somerla (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 23:77
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Jani Laatunen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matti Leppänen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Henrik Moilanen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Draw |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
44th • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marko Syrjälä (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tero Sainomaa (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Henrik Moilanen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 8: Loss vs Henry Leskinen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 9: Loss vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emmi Pelkonen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vilma Varismaa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jiahao Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Miika Räisänen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pekka Mäkipelto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matti Leppänen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Valtteri Laine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.