Zyggy Starlight

Zyggy Starlight

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

36th 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Riku Majamaa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Fai, Rising Rebellion
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mikael Kullström (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46
Dash I/O
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emmi Pelkonen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jani Leinonen (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 64:36
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Mikael Teittinen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
dropped 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aarni Rantamäki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
Jarl Vetreiði
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Heikki Halla-aho (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jani Laatunen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vilma Varismaa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.