National Championship 2026 - Finland - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC) - FaB-Results

Kassai of the Golden Sand

Kassai of the Golden Sand

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

August Rokkanen

5th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Valtteri Laine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Henrik Moilanen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Jarl Vetreiði

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dmitry Petrov (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32

Dash I/O

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rene Aho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Roope Metsä (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

Fai, Rising Rebellion

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Roope Metsä (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.22
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.24
R4	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.44
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.17
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Antti Knuuttila

33rd • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

Fai, Rising Rebellion

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mikko Salmi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kalle Kivilahti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69

Dash I/O

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joonas Viljanen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

Puffin, Hightail

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tommi Vornanen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Matias Paulasaari (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 43:57

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.15
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.35
R8	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.63
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Marko Syrjälä

35th • 2-3-1

67%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.1

Diff

Jarl Vetreiði

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Heikki Halla-aho (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Sami Koivisto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lari Lampainen (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53

Dash I/O

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Olli Saarinen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

Dash I/O

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Emmi Pelkonen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Eero Aho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.09
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Draw	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.03
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

dropped • 1-1-2

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.4

Diff

Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Adrien Delacroix (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Dash I/O

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Emmi Pelkonen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

Zyggy Starlight

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tero Sainomaa (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40

Jarl Vetreiði

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Jarko Räisänen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.39
R3	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Draw	✓	0.68	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.