FaB-Results

Puffin, Hightail at National Championship 2026 - Finland

Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Tommi Vornanen
42nd • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
4.2
Diff
Dash I/O
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aino-Mari Uisma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Jarl Vetreiði
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jarko Räisänen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Valtteri Laine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Kassai of the Golden Sand
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Antti Knuuttila (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Toni Seppälä (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jan Hell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Michael Captain
31st • 2-3-1
33%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eero Aho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pekka Mäkipelto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Linnea Söderlund (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Aleksi Mäkinen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Vilma Varismaa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.