Fang, Dracai of Blades

Fang, Dracai of Blades

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

15th 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
4.2
Diff
Dash I/O
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rene Aho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 23:77
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jiahao Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 26:74
Dash I/O
!!
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emmi Pelkonen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Fai, Rising Rebellion
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mikael Kullström (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Henrik Moilanen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Aleksi Mäkinen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
19th 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lauri Koivisto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 26:74
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Jarl Vetreiði
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jarko Räisänen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 74:26
Jarl Vetreiði
!!
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jirka Ilomäki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kalle Kivilahti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Riku Majamaa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.