Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at National Championship 2026 - Finland
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
29th • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
3.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sami Koivisto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Roope Metsä (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Juha-Antti Kurttila (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jani Leinonen (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 56:44
Round 9: Win vs Aarni Rantamäki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.