Bravo, Star of the Show at Battle Hardened: Osaka
Bravo, Star of the Show
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Cohen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs shoma yamamura (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Viliam Kubik (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Tye Soens (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Colin Li (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Carlo Ople (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 71:29
R9
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
12th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
70:30
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Tye Soens (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Victor Mercado (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Viliam Kubik (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
14th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
80:20
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 57:43
80:20
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Johnson (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs HyoungJun You (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 87:13
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 85% | Win |
19th • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Andy Pham (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 57:43
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs YUICHI AIKYO (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs 周万 濵口 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Matt Rogers (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs David Yau (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
27th • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Baines (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 57:43
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Colin Li (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
70:30
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs yuuta nojiri (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Cohen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Win |
36th • 2-4-1
100%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
4.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
80:20
R1 LL
Round 1: Draw vs Lee Ming-Han (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 79:21
Round 2: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs tomoya kitagawa (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Nova Chan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Risa Shioji (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Chun On Anson Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 80% | Draw |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs 大貴 浅海 (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Loss vs Liam Holden (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Jeong Ho Shin (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 79:21
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
70:30
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Jodey Burney (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Raphael Rosa (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Tye Soens (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Holden (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Chun On Anson Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Leo Shea (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Canning (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs 野原 由一 (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Gary White (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.