Kano, Dracai of Aether
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 8-2-0
60%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
5.7
Surp
5.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Takaaki Ueno (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs David Lee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs haruka sonoda (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
Round 6: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
Round 9: Win vs David Yau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R10
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Xavier McLean (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
30th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Damien Hutchins (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Peng Joon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
15:85
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 16:84
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
15:85
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 16:84
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Peng Joon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Chun On Anson Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Nova Chan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Roger Bodee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs 周万 濵口 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 3: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Valentin Varga (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Chun On Anson Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Gary White (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs YUICHI AIKYO (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Darryn Ying (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
20:80
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Nova Chan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.