Dash I/O at Battle Hardened: Osaka
Dash I/O
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-2-0
100%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.8
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Luke Kennedy (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Tetsushi Nishida (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs HyoungJun You (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Carlo Ople (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R9
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
11th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Bernard Eng (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Raphael Rosa (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Damien Hutchins (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs David Lee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Jackson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.