Lexi, Livewire at Battle Hardened: Osaka
Lexi, Livewire
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
31st • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 55:45
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 55:45
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Liam Canning (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs 野原 由一 (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Toni Schwarze (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Gary White (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Darryn Ying (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Nova Chan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Beni (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Li (Unknown)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Risa Shioji (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
20:80
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
20:80
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 21:79
Round 2: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs David Yau (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Darryn Ying (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs YUICHI AIKYO (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-1
33%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
20:80
R1 LL
Round 1: Draw vs Jean Luka Zorko (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 21:79
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Justin Cu (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
20:80
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (0.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 20% | Draw |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Tetsushi Nishida (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.