Viserai, Rune Blood at Battle Hardened: Osaka
Viserai, Rune Blood
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-1-0
100%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Robert Martini (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs HyoungJun You (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Carlo Ople (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
9th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.8
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs David Yau (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs David Lee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
10th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs 野原 由一 (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Valentin Varga (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
13th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Leo Shea (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Cohen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Peng Joon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Gary White (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
21st • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs CYK Lionel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs David Lee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Darryn Ying (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
25th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Valentin Varga (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs CYK Lionel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Earl Edison Ang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.