Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-2-1
62%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs simon haesaerts (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 74:26
Round 5: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
Round 8: Loss vs Valentin Popov (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Draw |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
15th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexandre Clay (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs Dominic Ally (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pavlos Konstantinidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Giani Gabriel Dinu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
16th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Florian Vanclaire (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pavlos Konstantinidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
Round 5: Loss vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
20th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nefra Greywulf (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ihor Kotaiev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 4: Loss vs Giani Gabriel Dinu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Julien Lizen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Win vs rogier De wever (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pavlos Konstantinidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
45th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Fincker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cedric SCHAACK (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michiel Vonck (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florian Vanclaire (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexandre Godon (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs João Madureira (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
Round 7: Win vs Tibo Vanwambeke (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.