Prism, Awakener of Sol at Battle Hardened: Charleroi 2026

Prism, Awakener of Sol

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Bernar Aganchyan

3rd • 7-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wouter Ouwehand (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lucas Dutailly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Valentin Popov (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Dominic Ally (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Valentin Popov (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.10
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.22
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.30
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.24
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.65
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.41
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.81
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Luis Oliveira

53rd • 1-6-0

71%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 27:73

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michiel Vonck (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Marco Di Toro (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Sammy Weckx

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs jens van santberghe (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 27:73

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Angelov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 27:73

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.