Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at Battle Hardened: Charleroi

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Dominic Ally

5th • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Julien Lizen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs João Madureira (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 75:25

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thomas Fincker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Pavlos Konstantinidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Valentin Popov (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.18
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.10
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.06
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Kevin van Steenis

23rd • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alexander Leus (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Samed Demir (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dominic Ally (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Giani Gabriel Dinu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs simon haesaerts (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.42
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.73
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.80

Laurent Lecomte

31st • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marco Di Toro (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Fincker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Valentin Popov (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nefra Greywulf (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Samed Demir (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.11
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.28
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Brent Van de Staey

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pavlos Konstantinidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Luis Oliveira (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.09

Stefaan Morbee

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yassine Overlot ()

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Gindri (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.