Arakni, Huntsman at Battle Hardened: Charleroi 2026
Arakni, Huntsman
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
34th • 3-3-1
43%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raphaël Snaet (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
Round 2: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Tam Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 15:85
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Draw |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.