Dash I/O at Battle Hardened: Charleroi 2026

Dash I/O

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Pavlos Konstantinidis

9th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Brent Van de Staey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Samed Demir (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs jens van santberghe (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Dominic Ally (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Elliot Bessède (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.10
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.92
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Julien Lizen

47th • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dominic Ally (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Fasquel (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 36:64

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 41:59

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Leus (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Elliot Bessède (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Adrien Druart (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.55
R4	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Raphaël Snaet

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs simon haesaerts (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexandre Godon (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.52
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.