Battle Hardened: Charleroi 2026 - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Pavlos Konstantinidis

9th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Brent Van de Staey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Samed Demir (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs jens van santberghe (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Dominic Ally (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Elliot Bessède (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.25
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.55
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.58
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.96

Julien Lizen

47th • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dominic Ally (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Fasquel (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Leus (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Elliot Bessède (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Adrien Druart (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.35
R4	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.17
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Raphaël Snaet

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs simon haesaerts (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexandre Godon (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.61
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.