Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
39th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raphaël Snaet (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ihor Kotaiev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lorenzo Cambon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Leus (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.