Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

27th 4-2-1
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
Pleiades, Superstar
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Adrien Druart (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Dash I/O
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Julien Lizen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ruben Van Dessel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Dorinthea Ironsong
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lucas Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
dropped 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
Fang, Dracai of Blades
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs boris froidville (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.