Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Gindri (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tibo Vanwambeke (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Fasquel (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Leus (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.