Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
13th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Laurent Lecomte (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Raphaël Snaet (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tibo Vanwambeke (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Niels Vos (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gabriel Gindri (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
21st • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tam Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Cambon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs boris froidville (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
22nd • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tam Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wouter Ouwehand (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs jens van santberghe (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
33rd • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hugo Platret (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexandre Clay (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tibo Vanwambeke (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tam Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Niels Vos (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.