Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Battle Hardened: Charleroi 2026
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
43rd • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adrien Druart (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Win vs Marco Di Toro (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Draw |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.