Battle Hardened: Charleroi 2026 - Kayo, Armed and Dangerous (CC)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Giani Gabriel Dinu

18th • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alexis Dehaese ()

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Guillaume Desmartin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Elliot Bessède (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tam Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.63
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.88
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.87
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Thomas Fincker

40th • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Cambon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Laurent Lecomte (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dominic Ally (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alexander Leus (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.22
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.31
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Marco Di Toro

50th • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs None ()

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Laurent Lecomte (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64

80:20

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Luis Oliveira (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 79:21

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.35

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.