Battle Hardened: Charleroi 2026 - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Niels Vos

26th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ihor Kotaiev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tam Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61

90:10

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs João Madureira (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 91:9

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alex Angelov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	90%	Win	✓	0.09	0.08
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.70
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Kaloyan Nikov

30th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Valentin Popov (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Julien Lizen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Luis Oliveira (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

90:10

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs João Madureira (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 91:9

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Thomas Fincker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs jens van santberghe (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.25
R5	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	90%	Win	✓	0.09	0.10
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.80
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

jens van santberghe

32nd • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.9

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pavlos Konstantinidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Gabriel Gindri (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.06
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.39
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.46
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.