Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

14th 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.7
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Angelov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Fincker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nefra Greywulf (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
Puffin, Hightail
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!!
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ihor Kotaiev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs simon haesaerts (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
29th 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.8
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Prism, Awakener of Sol
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 79:21
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!!
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gert Verleysen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Niels Vos (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Florian Vanclaire (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Pleiades, Superstar
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Adrien Druart (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 63:37

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.