Battle Hardened: Singapore - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Eon Lovelace

5th • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

4.2

Surp

4.3

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jose Lau (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yong Yi Chua (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs jay asher yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Teo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Albern Song (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.03
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.32
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.70
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.20
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	20%	Win	✗	0.79	1.67
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.39
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Nigel Teo

25th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bernie L (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Prisse (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jia Zheng Yeo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Toh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alaric Ng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.33
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.44
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.58
R6	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Marquis Tan

27th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Derek Yang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Darius Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Peng Joon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Dawei Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ming Xuan Loh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.07
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.61
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.69
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-

Deitrich Mohan

38th • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gary Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brenna Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rafe Ang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ming Xuan Loh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	20%	Win	✗	0.79	0.32
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.13
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.33
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R7	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Edwin Liew

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs ZJ Ang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ben Ong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thaddius Ho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.16
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.13
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.62
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-

Jarren Goh

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.1

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tabitha Boon (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brenna Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Vivekraj Kannalagan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.05
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-

Edgar Leroy de Pedro

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rafe Ang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eugene Lim Z.J (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.