Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at Battle Hardened: Singapore

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Albern Song

22nd • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marcus Ngeh (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thaddius Ho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rafe Ang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 29:71

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vivekraj Kannalagan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Wayne Tay (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 57:43

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Eon Lovelace (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.25
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.39
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.44
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.58
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Gary Lee

51st • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.1

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs kc wong (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Charlie Teo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ives K (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Marcus Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ojus Sharma (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Damon Yang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.33
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.78

Ojus Sharma

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jose Lau (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Teo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jason Khaw (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Poon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jerome Chua (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Gary Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.