Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at Battle Hardened: Singapore

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Albern Song

22nd • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marcus Ngeh (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thaddius Ho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rafe Ang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vivekraj Kannalagan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Wayne Tay (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 63:37

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Eon Lovelace (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.22
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.32
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.45
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.48
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Loss	✓	0.79	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Gary Lee

51st • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs kc wong (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Charlie Teo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ives K (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Marcus Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ojus Sharma (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Damon Yang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Loss	✓	0.79	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.55

Ojus Sharma

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jose Lau (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Teo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jason Khaw (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Poon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jerome Chua (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Gary Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.39
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.