Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 7-3-0
70%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nigel Teo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eugene Lim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Peng Joon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jose Lau (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jose Lau (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Rafe Ang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
5th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Zhang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ChangSheng Sze Tho (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daren Choo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chung Si Chia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Carlo Ople (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Rafe Ang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
20th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sean Tan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ming Xuan Loh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chin hao Teo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Darius Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs kc wong (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
37th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Klein Tian (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gary Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tabitha Boon (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Loh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Shawn Ng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ming Hao Leong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joel Ong (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alfred Lauw (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tai Yan Han (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jia Zheng Yeo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Toh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ming Xuan Loh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joel Ong (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Muhd Noh (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gary Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Danial Faizsal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Muhd Noh (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Dale Low (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ming Xuan Loh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Charlie Teo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dennis Chearn ()
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Melvin Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jarren Goh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Albern Song (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.