Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at Battle Hardened

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jacob Clements

2nd • 7-3-0

90%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nigel Teo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eugene Lim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Peng Joon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jose Lau (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jose Lau (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Rafe Ang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

90% (9/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.08
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.14
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.52
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.79
R9	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Dong Quek

5th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joshua Zhang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs ChangSheng Sze Tho (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daren Choo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chung Si Chia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Carlo Ople (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Rafe Ang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.36
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.59
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.34
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.39
R8	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Brodie Spurlock

20th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sean Tan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ming Xuan Loh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Chin hao Teo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Darius Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs kc wong (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 71:29

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.20
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.54
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.91
R6	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.43
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.45

Charlie Teo

37th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.7

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Klein Tian (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gary Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tabitha Boon (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alex Loh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Shawn Ng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ming Hao Leong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.54
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.20
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.28

Benjamin Tan

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joel Ong (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 71:29

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alfred Lauw (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tai Yan Han (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jia Zheng Yeo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Toh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.08
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.23
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.85
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Marcus Ho

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ming Xuan Loh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joel Ong (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Muhd Noh (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 71:29

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Gary Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Danial Faizsal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.34
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.06
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Alex Loh

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Muhd Noh (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 71:29

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dale Low (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ming Xuan Loh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Charlie Teo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.20
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Vivekraj Kannalagan

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dennis Chearn ()

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Melvin Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jarren Goh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Albern Song (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.