Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
13th • 5-1-1
57%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Chun Huat Kua (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dawei Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Alaric Ng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ming Xuan Loh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Draw |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.