Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Battle Hardened: Singapore
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chung Si Chia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcus Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Loh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Peng Joon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 79:21
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.