Battle Hardened: Singapore - Dorinthea Ironsong (CC)

Dorinthea Ironsong

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alaric Ng

18th • 5-1-1

57%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yoong Kean Leong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas On (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Peng Joon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chuan Yang Loy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nigel Teo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.12
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.46
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Draw	✗	0.33	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Loss	✓	0.79	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.24
R6	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.63
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.30

Joshua Zhang

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dong Quek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chun Huat Kua (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Amirruddin Sheik (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs ZJ Ang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ives K (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Dave Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.98
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.27
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Amirruddin Sheik

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hao Yang Ng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Zhang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Loss	✓	0.79	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Loss	✓	0.79	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.