Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 5-1-1
43%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Charlie Teo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Jin Han Toh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas On (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 4: Win vs Alaric Ng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ben Ong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Jason Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dong Quek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
14th • 5-1-1
71%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dave Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Win vs Edwin Liew (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Daren Choo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Yap (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Teo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
Round 7: Win vs Alfred Lauw (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Draw |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
9th • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Win vs Edwin Kan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Win vs Edwin Liew (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eon Lovelace (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
15th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Amirruddin Sheik (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ives K (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sean Tan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chung Si Chia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Albern Song (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
30th • 4-1-2
57%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Wacky Benedicto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Klein Tian (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Win vs Jarren Goh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sean Tan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
23rd • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Klein Tian (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kean Onn Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chun Huat Kua (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dong Quek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Melvin Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs jay asher yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ming Hao Leong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yoong Kean Leong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Teo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Win vs Alex Loh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Melvin Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jamie Pok (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Yap (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Jason Khaw (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alaric Ng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Prisse (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joel Ong (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Tan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Loss vs Chun Huat Kua (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None ()
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | 50% | Win | |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.