Jarl Vetreiði at Battle Hardened: Singapore

Jarl Vetreiði

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Chia Yong Teck

3rd • 7-2-0

44%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

4.9

Surp

3.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Damon Yang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yong Yi Chua (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kean Onn Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jose Lau (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Eon Lovelace (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.43
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.59
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.47
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.66
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.53
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.09
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Klein Tian

dropped • 2-1-1

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Charlie Teo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Jin Han Toh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Christopher Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Draw	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Chin hao Teo

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yong Yi Chua (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 27:73

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jamie Pok (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 27:73

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Damon Yang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Christopher Ng

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacky Ho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jia Zheng Yeo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Klein Tian (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.30
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

ChangSheng Sze Tho

dropped • 1-1-1

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Baron Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Damon Yang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dong Quek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Draw	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.