Puffin, Hightail at Battle Hardened: Singapore
Puffin, Hightail
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-2-0
44%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Edgar Leroy de Pedro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Albern Song (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alfred Lauw (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Toh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dong Quek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
53rd • 1-6-0
86%
Meta
-2.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ChangSheng Sze Tho (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chin hao Teo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wei Jie Yeo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
Round 5: Loss vs Muhd Noh (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tabitha Boon (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33
Round 7: Loss vs Gary Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Lim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ming Hao Leong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yoong Kean Leong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yong Yi Chua (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jason Khaw (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Danial Faizsal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jerome Chua (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs Chung Si Chia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dawei Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Albern Song (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kangsen Ang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wacky Benedicto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.