Dash I/O at Battle Hardened: Singapore
Dash I/O
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Darius Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Round 2: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jamie Pok (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Edwin Kan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Tan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nigel Teo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40
Round 7: Loss vs Rafe Ang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
35th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shawn Ng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nicholas On (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
Round 7: Win vs Kean Onn Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene Lim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jozelle Koh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dawei Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Loss vs Eon Lovelace (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kean Onn Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jerome Chua (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daren Choo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs jay asher yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Muhd Noh (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kangsen Ang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Derek Yang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ming Hao Leong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wacky Benedicto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Tan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 6: Loss vs Charlie Teo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Poon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Teo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shawn Ng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.