Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 5-1-0
83%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eduardo Ferreira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs André Cardoso (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Diogo Henriques (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mariano Lemus (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Rui Carvalho (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
14th • 5-1-0
83%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
4.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marco Pinto (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Filipe Cunha Santos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nuno Paiva (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Round 8: Win vs Pedro Carvalho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Augusto Silva (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
19th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Afonso Fernandes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Manuel Silva (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Loss vs Bernardo José Alves (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pedro Pereira (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Francisco Pimenta (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Paulo Resende (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
21st • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Golden (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Alves (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dinis Gomes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs João Lemos (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Fernandes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Francisco Pimenta (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
24th • 2-3-1
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Rodrigues (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rodolfo Brites (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Fernandes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rui Carvalho (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Lucas Golden (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Pedro Carvalho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Draw |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
31st • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs André Cardoso (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs José Guimarães (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Paulo Resende (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nuno Paiva (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Golden (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.