Jarl Vetreiði
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tiago Queirós (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nuno Amaral (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs João Rodrigues (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Vitorino Oliveira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Vitor Rocha (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs José Henriques (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.