Dash I/O at National Championship 2025

Dash I/O

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Bernardo José Alves

5th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bruno Mendes (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Filipe Camacho (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Guilherme Silva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Paulo Resende (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Nuno Amaral (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.67
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.66
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.81
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.41
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Luís Monteiro

25th • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs João Rodrigues (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Afonso Fernandes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tiago Marques (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Diogo Henriques (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jose Alves (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Nuno Paiva (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Cordeiro (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Carla Correia (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Alain Franco (Unknown)

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tiago Rodrigues (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.