Dash I/O at National Championship 2025

Dash I/O

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Bernardo José Alves

5th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.7

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bruno Mendes (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Filipe Camacho (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Guilherme Silva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Paulo Resende (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Nuno Amaral (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.19
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.62
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.76
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.79
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.36
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Luís Monteiro

25th • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs João Rodrigues (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Afonso Fernandes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tiago Marques (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 86:14

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Diogo Henriques (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jose Alves (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Nuno Paiva (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.11
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Cordeiro (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Carla Correia (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Alain Franco (Unknown)

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tiago Rodrigues (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.