Vynnset, Iron Maiden at National Championship 2025 - Portugal
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
22nd • 3-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mariano Lemus (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Win vs Miguel Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joao Pereira (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs José Henriques (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dinis Gomes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Luís Monteiro (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.