FaB-Results

Ira, Scarlet Revenger at National Championship 2025 - Portugal

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Mariano Lemus
3rd • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.8
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nuno Paiva (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rui Carvalho (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Vitor Rocha (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tiago Rodrigues (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jose Alves (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Manuel Cunha
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nuno Amaral (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 22:78
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs João Rodrigues (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Arakni, Marionette
!!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Filipe Ficalho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.