National Championship 2025 - Portugal - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Marco Pinto

29th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.1

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs José Henriques (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Filipe Casimiro (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs João Martins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Henrique Brito (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Samuel Cordeiro (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.38
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.23
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50

Samuel Cordeiro

30th • 2-3-1

17%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pedro Pereira (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Francisco Pimenta (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs David Rodrigues (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs Filipe Ficalho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Marco Pinto (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.20
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.57
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Draw	✗	0.39	-
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Rodolfo Brites

dropped • 1-2-0

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vitor Rocha (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Paulo Sherring (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Carla Correia (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.15

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.