Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

32nd 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Filipe Ficalho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs João Martins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Fernandes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Marco Pinto (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paulo Resende (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vitorino Oliveira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marco Pinto (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Golden (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tiago Marques (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.